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PWR-113 · Reasoning, Judgement & Strategy

Test eight fictional arguments by searching for counterexamples

This exercise asks one narrow question: if all stated premises were true, would the conclusion have to be true? The eight arguments use invented categories so real-world beliefs do not decide the answer. For an invalid argument, supply one possible case where every premise is true and the conclusion false. For a valid argument, state the short chain that makes a counterexample impossible. Plausibility, confidence and factual truth are not substitutes for validity. The cards are untimed and may be represented in plain language, symbols, audio or diagrams. Do not transfer the score to intelligence, general rationality or consequential legal, clinical, financial, employment or security judgments; those require domain expertise and accountable review. Stop if the drill becomes an intelligence comparison, high-pressure timed test or tool for a real dispute.

Tutorial curriculum · current public edition · Revision 7T · Full Tutorial Edition

Revision 7T · Full Tutorial Edition · complete governed practice tutorial

Test eight fictional arguments by searching for counterexamples

This exercise asks one narrow question: if all stated premises were true, would the conclusion have to be true? The eight arguments use invented categories so real-world beliefs do not decide the answer. For an invalid argument, supply one possible case where every premise is true and the conclusion false. For a valid argument, state the short chain that makes a counterexample impossible. Plausibility, confidence and factual truth are not substitutes for validity. The cards are untimed and may be represented in plain language, symbols, audio or diagrams. Do not transfer the score to intelligence, general rationality or consequential legal, clinical, financial, employment or security judgments; those require domain expertise and accountable review. Stop if the drill becomes an intelligence comparison, high-pressure timed test or tool for a real dispute.

Authority and safety

  • Use only the bounded configuration. Use neutral syllogisms or fictional rule systems. Avoid legal, clinical, political or interpersonal accusations.
  • Stop if the frame becomes an intelligence test, timed drill or consequential decision rule.
  • Do not apply it to legal, clinical, financial, employment or security judgments.

Exact materials

  • Eight argument cards in the fixture, each containing all premises and one conclusion.
  • Response sheet with columns: valid/invalid, confidence 0–100, attempted counterexample or proof chain, added assumption, checked answer and correction.
  • Method card: ‘Temporarily assume the premises. Try to make them all true while making the conclusion false. One coherent case disproves validity.’
  • Counterexample tokens or simple diagrams for representing fictional objects; text or audio reasoning is equally valid.
  • Answer key covered until all eight initial classifications and confidence ratings are recorded.
  • Boundary card: neutral formal exercise only; no intelligence label and no use as a decision rule in a real high-stakes domain.

Set up in this order

  1. Review the definitions: a premise is assumed for the exercise, a conclusion is the claim being tested, and valid means no case can have true premises with a false conclusion.
  2. Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure. Complete one unscored example: ‘All zims are blue; K is a zim; therefore K is blue’ is valid.
  3. For cards D1–D8, first mark valid or invalid and confidence without viewing the answer key.
  4. For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample. For every proposed valid card, write the premise link that forces the conclusion.
  5. Reveal the key, score classification and justification separately, and label errors as form error, added assumption or plausibility interference.
  6. Correct each missed card once and stop after eight. A 3–7-day fresh set may test retention, but this supplied set must not be memorised and called transfer.

Supplied fixture

Argument cards for participant analysis. Validity labels and required proofs/counterexamples remain in the staged key.
CardPremisesConclusion
D1All mirks are dovens. All dovens are pale.All mirks are pale.
D2All toras are nims. Some nims are blue.Some toras are blue.
D3No pelts are jars. Some jars are round.Some round things are not pelts.
D4Some sivs are lons. All lons are quiet.Some sivs are quiet.
D5All rens are veks. No veks are tall.No rens are tall.
D6Some abels are gold. Some abels are square.Some gold things are square.
D7No cados are fens. No fens are gors.No cados are gors.
D8All hups are kels. No hups are round.No kels are round.

Check your work only after you finish

Lock every response first. The checking page is separate so the answers are not exposed inside this exercise.

Open the separate checking page →

Scoring rule

For each of eight cards, award 1 point for the correct valid/invalid classification and 1 point for an adequate proof chain or explicit counterexample: 16 points total. A classification with no justification can earn at most 1 point. For invalid cards, the counterexample must satisfy every premise while falsifying the conclusion; for valid cards, the chain must identify the forcing premise relationship. Report classification/8, justification/8, total/16, confidence and error types. A high score demonstrates only performance on these forms, not general intelligence, factual truth or sound high-stakes judgment.

Worked example

  1. On D6, the learner temporarily assumes both premises: some abels are gold, and some abels are square. The word ‘some’ does not say the same abel satisfies both claims.
  2. The learner constructs Abel A, which is gold and not square, and Abel B, which is square and not gold.
  3. Both premises are true: at least one abel is gold and at least one abel is square. The conclusion ‘some gold things are square’ is false in this model because neither object has both properties.
  4. The learner marks D6 invalid and writes the two-object model. That earns 1 classification point and 1 counterexample point.
  5. Across the full fictional set, suppose seven classifications and six justifications are correct. The total is 7 + 6 = 13/16; the missing justification points remain visible rather than being inferred from confidence.

Correct result: D6 earns 2/2 because the two-abel counterexample keeps both premises true and makes the conclusion false. The illustrative full-set score is 13/16. Neither result certifies rationality, intelligence or competence in a consequential domain.

Right and wrong

Right and wrong comparison
MomentRight / saferWrong / riskierWhy
Testing an odd premiseAssume it temporarily and ask what follows.Call the argument invalid because the fictional category sounds implausible.Validity concerns the relationship between premises and conclusion, not real-world plausibility.
Rejecting an inferenceGive a model with true premises and a false conclusion.Say only ‘the conclusion might be wrong.’A concrete counterexample demonstrates the logical possibility required.
Reading ‘some’Allow different witnesses unless the premises link them.Assume two ‘some’ statements refer to the same object.That hidden identity assumption causes the D6 error.
Using a valid formTrace D1 from mirk to doven to pale.Accept it only because pale mirks sound believable.The premise chain, not belief, forces the conclusion.
Applying the scoreDescribe accuracy on eight neutral arguments.Use 16/16 to approve a legal, medical or financial decision.Formal-task performance does not supply domain facts, authority or accountable review.

Common mistakes and fixes

Common mistakes and corrections
MistakeFix
The learner argues that a premise is false in real life.Bracket factual truth and test whether the conclusion must follow if the premises are true.
A counterexample violates one of the premises.Check every premise line by line before claiming the conclusion can be false.
‘All hups are kels’ is reversed to ‘all kels are hups.’Draw one contained set: hups sit inside kels; properties of hups need not cover other kels.
Confidence is used as a justification point.Score confidence separately; award the second point only for a valid chain or counterexample.
The same eight answers are memorised and presented as transfer.Use fresh forms after delay for any retention or transfer claim and keep this supplied set labelled practice.

Evidence boundary

What the tutorial may—and may not—claim.

Supportable claim

Deductive reasoning on specified problems may improve with structured practice, but the active-control advantage and durable transfer remain uncertain.

Measurement boundary

Declare formalism, language, item novelty, active control, response accuracy, explanation, delay and transfer domain; one task is not general rationality.

Myth

Become perfectly logical

Metric

Accuracy and explanation on predeclared novel deduction problems after delay

Boundary

A logic-task gain does not prove global intelligence or better high-stakes decisions.

Negative and limiting findings

  • The training app did not outperform its active control.
  • Abstract logic principles alone had little effect unless mapping to concrete examples was made available.
  • Neither source tested durable retention or consequential real-world transfer.

Prohibited wording

  • become perfectly logical
  • logic app raises intelligence
  • never make a reasoning error
  • deductive score proves rationality

Direct source register

Evidence that supports—and limits—the route.

Pragmatic versus syntactic approaches to training deductive reasoning

Patricia W. Cheng; Keith J. Holyoak; Richard E. Nisbett; Lindsay M. Oliver · 1986 · PRIMARY_RESEARCH

Supports only the bounded empirical proposition in the declared configurations. Constrains generalisation, transfer, certainty or efficacy; it is not optional context.

The Mental Models Training App: Enhancing verbal reasoning through a cognitive training mobile application

Robert A. Cortes; Adam B. Weinberger; Adam E. Green · 2023 · PRIMARY_RESEARCH

Supports only the bounded empirical proposition in the declared configurations. Constrains generalisation, transfer, certainty or efficacy; it is not optional context.

Tutorial delivery controls

Learn, adapt, troubleshoot and resume

Estimated timeEstimated 20 min reading and worksheet pass
DifficultyIntroductory
EquipmentBasic stationery or digital tools
SpaceDesk / seated
Method qualityEstablished10 of 10 structural checks present. Automated method-readiness band; human editorial sign-off is separate.
Evidence contextG1; Focused research depthScientific support is evaluated separately from teaching-method structure.
Editorial reviewPending manual sign-offNo human approval is claimed until reviewer, date and content hash are recorded.
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Step-by-step learner mode

Each activity includes its success check, a nearby accessible alternative and an “I’m stuck” correction path. Alternatives preserve the target where possible; when they change the task, Titan labels them as related rather than equivalent.

01

Review the definitions: a premise is assumed for the exercise, a conclusion…

Review the definitions: a premise is assumed for the exercise, a conclusion is the claim being tested, and valid means no case can have true premises with a false conclusion.

Why this step exists

“Review the definitions: a premise is assumed for the exercise, a conclusion is the claim being tested, and valid means no case can have true premises with a false conclusion” isolates the named evidence distinction so the learner can interpret Deductive reasoning without extending the claim.

Success check

The output directly answers “Review the definitions: a premise is assumed for the exercise, a conclusion is the claim being tested, and valid means no case can have true premises with a false conclusion”, names the relevant distinction and stays within the supplied record.

I’m stuck on this step

Reset: Re-read this authored instruction — “Review the definitions: a premise is assumed for the exercise, a conclusion is the claim being tested, and valid means no case can have true premises with a false conclusion.” — and its success check, then attempt only this step.

  1. Possible snag: The learner argues that a premise is false in real life.

    Correction: Bracket factual truth and test whether the conclusion must follow if the premises are true.

  2. Possible snag: A counterexample violates one of the premises.

    Correction: Check every premise line by line before claiming the conclusion can be false.

Stop / get help: A governed step-by-step lesson may be completed independently inside its stated limits. Stop if the declared configuration cannot be maintained, uncertainty becomes material, adverse effects appear, or qualified authority is required.

02

Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure

Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure. Complete one unscored example: ‘All zims are blue; K is a zim; therefore K is blue’ is valid.

Why this step exists

“Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure” fixes the exact Deductive reasoning configuration or decision before later observations are compared.

Success check

The learner can verify “Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure” from the declared materials, position or recorded choice before continuing.

I’m stuck on this step

Reset: Re-read this authored instruction — “Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure. Complete one unscored example: ‘All zims are blue; K is a zim; therefore K is blue’ is valid.” — and its success check, then attempt only this step.

  1. Possible snag: The result from “Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure. Complete one unscored example: ‘All zims are blue; K is a zim; therefore K is blue’ is valid.” does not yet meet this declared check: The learner can verify “Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure” from the declared materials, position or recorded choice before continuing.

    Correction: Return to the start of “Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure”, reduce complexity or pace, and repeat only the part needed to satisfy: “The learner can verify “Choose an accessible representation and remove time pressure” from the declared materials, position or recorded choice before continuing.”

Stop / get help: A governed step-by-step lesson may be completed independently inside its stated limits. Stop if the declared configuration cannot be maintained, uncertainty becomes material, adverse effects appear, or qualified authority is required.

03

For cards D1–D8, first mark valid or invalid and confidence without viewing…

For cards D1–D8, first mark valid or invalid and confidence without viewing the answer key.

Why this step exists

“For cards D1–D8, first mark valid or invalid and confidence without viewing the answer key” carries the authored Deductive reasoning method into a reviewable output without adding an unstated task, dose or claim.

Success check

Evidence of completion shows the learner followed this exact instruction without adding an unstated step: “For cards D1–D8, first mark valid or invalid and confidence without viewing the answer key.”

I’m stuck on this step

Reset: Re-read this authored instruction — “For cards D1–D8, first mark valid or invalid and confidence without viewing the answer key.” — and its success check, then attempt only this step.

  1. Possible snag: ‘All hups are kels’ is reversed to ‘all kels are hups.’

    Correction: Draw one contained set: hups sit inside kels; properties of hups need not cover other kels.

Stop / get help: A governed step-by-step lesson may be completed independently inside its stated limits. Stop if the declared configuration cannot be maintained, uncertainty becomes material, adverse effects appear, or qualified authority is required.

04

For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample

For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample. For every proposed valid card, write the premise link that forces the conclusion.

Why this step exists

“For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample” creates the auditable value, condition or statement needed for the tutorial’s later comparison and conclusion.

Success check

A legible entry directly completes “For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample” and records the requested condition, decision or boundary without adding a new claim.

I’m stuck on this step

Reset: Re-read this authored instruction — “For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample. For every proposed valid card, write the premise link that forces the conclusion.” — and its success check, then attempt only this step.

  1. Possible snag: The result from “For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample. For every proposed valid card, write the premise link that forces the conclusion.” does not yet meet this declared check: A legible entry directly completes “For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample” and records the requested condition, decision or boundary without adding a new claim.

    Correction: Return to the start of “For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample”, reduce complexity or pace, and repeat only the part needed to satisfy: “A legible entry directly completes “For every proposed invalid card, construct a specific counterexample” and records the requested condition, decision or boundary without adding a new claim.”

Stop / get help: A governed step-by-step lesson may be completed independently inside its stated limits. Stop if the declared configuration cannot be maintained, uncertainty becomes material, adverse effects appear, or qualified authority is required.

05

Reveal the key, score classification and justification separately, and label errors as…

Reveal the key, score classification and justification separately, and label errors as form error, added assumption or plausibility interference.

Why this step exists

“Reveal the key, score classification and justification separately, and label errors as form error, added assumption or plausibility interference” creates the auditable value, condition or statement needed for the tutorial’s later comparison and conclusion.

Success check

The work shows the value requested by “Reveal the key, score classification and justification separately, and label errors as form error, added assumption or plausibility interference”, retains the supplied units or signs and leaves any unsupported value unknown.

I’m stuck on this step

Reset: Re-read this authored instruction — “Reveal the key, score classification and justification separately, and label errors as form error, added assumption or plausibility interference.” — and its success check, then attempt only this step.

  1. Possible snag: Confidence is used as a justification point.

    Correction: Score confidence separately; award the second point only for a valid chain or counterexample.

Stop / get help: A governed step-by-step lesson may be completed independently inside its stated limits. Stop if the declared configuration cannot be maintained, uncertainty becomes material, adverse effects appear, or qualified authority is required.

06

Correct each missed card once and stop after eight

Correct each missed card once and stop after eight. A 3–7-day fresh set may test retention, but this supplied set must not be memorised and called transfer.

Why this step exists

Keep this exact Deductive reasoning action explicit and reviewable: “Correct each missed card once and stop after eight. A 3–7-day fresh set may test retention, but this supplied set must not be memorised and called transfer.”

Success check

Evidence of completion shows the learner followed this exact instruction without adding an unstated step: “Correct each missed card once and stop after eight. A 3–7-day fresh set may test retention, but this supplied set must not be memorised and called transfer.”

I’m stuck on this step

Reset: Re-read this authored instruction — “Correct each missed card once and stop after eight. A 3–7-day fresh set may test retention, but this supplied set must not be memorised and called transfer.” — and its success check, then attempt only this step.

  1. Possible snag: The same eight answers are memorised and presented as transfer.

    Correction: Use fresh forms after delay for any retention or transfer claim and keep this supplied set labelled practice.

Stop / get help: A governed step-by-step lesson may be completed independently inside its stated limits. Stop if the declared configuration cannot be maintained, uncertainty becomes material, adverse effects appear, or qualified authority is required.

Correct versus incorrect execution

These accessible process diagrams are built from the tutorial’s own right/wrong teaching. They are not anatomical illustrations and do not add technique beyond the canonical tutorial.

Testing an odd premise — Validity concerns the relationship between premises and conclusion, not real-world plausibility.
PWR-113 correct and incorrect comparison: Testing an odd premiseTesting an odd premise. Correct or safer: Assume it temporarily and ask what follows.. Wrong or riskier: Call the argument invalid because the fictional category sounds implausible.. Why: Validity concerns the relationship between premises and conclusion, not real-world plausibility.SITUATIONTesting an oddpremiseCORRECT / SAFERAssume it temporarily and ask what follows.WRONG / RISKIERCall the argument invalid because the fictionalcategory sounds implausible.YESNO
Correct / safer

Assume it temporarily and ask what follows.

Wrong / riskier

Call the argument invalid because the fictional category sounds implausible.

Rejecting an inference — A concrete counterexample demonstrates the logical possibility required.
PWR-113 correct and incorrect comparison: Rejecting an inferenceRejecting an inference. Correct or safer: Give a model with true premises and a false conclusion.. Wrong or riskier: Say only ‘the conclusion might be wrong.’. Why: A concrete counterexample demonstrates the logical possibility required.SITUATIONRejecting aninferenceCORRECT / SAFERGive a model with true premises and a falseconclusion.WRONG / RISKIERSay only ‘the conclusion might be wrong.’YESNO
Correct / safer

Give a model with true premises and a false conclusion.

Wrong / riskier

Say only ‘the conclusion might be wrong.’

Reading ‘some’ — That hidden identity assumption causes the D6 error.
PWR-113 correct and incorrect comparison: Reading ‘some’Reading ‘some’. Correct or safer: Allow different witnesses unless the premises link them.. Wrong or riskier: Assume two ‘some’ statements refer to the same object.. Why: That hidden identity assumption causes the D6 error.SITUATIONReading ‘some’CORRECT / SAFERAllow different witnesses unless the premiseslink them.WRONG / RISKIERAssume two ‘some’ statements refer to the sameobject.YESNO
Correct / safer

Allow different witnesses unless the premises link them.

Wrong / riskier

Assume two ‘some’ statements refer to the same object.

Using a valid form — The premise chain, not belief, forces the conclusion.
PWR-113 correct and incorrect comparison: Using a valid formUsing a valid form. Correct or safer: Trace D1 from mirk to doven to pale.. Wrong or riskier: Accept it only because pale mirks sound believable.. Why: The premise chain, not belief, forces the conclusion.SITUATIONUsing a valid formCORRECT / SAFERTrace D1 from mirk to doven to pale.WRONG / RISKIERAccept it only because pale mirks soundbelievable.YESNO
Correct / safer

Trace D1 from mirk to doven to pale.

Wrong / riskier

Accept it only because pale mirks sound believable.

Applying the score — Formal-task performance does not supply domain facts, authority or accountable review.
PWR-113 correct and incorrect comparison: Applying the scoreApplying the score. Correct or safer: Describe accuracy on eight neutral arguments.. Wrong or riskier: Use 16/16 to approve a legal, medical or financial decision.. Why: Formal-task performance does not supply domain facts, authority or accountable review.SITUATIONApplying the scoreCORRECT / SAFERDescribe accuracy on eight neutral arguments.WRONG / RISKIERUse 16/16 to approve a legal, medical orfinancial decision.YESNO
Correct / safer

Describe accuracy on eight neutral arguments.

Wrong / riskier

Use 16/16 to approve a legal, medical or financial decision.

Method-structure checklist

10 of 10 structural checks present

  • Ordered, Power-specific instructions — present
  • Every activity has a success check — present
  • Materials or supplied records are declared — present
  • Measurement or assessment rule is present — present
  • Tutorial-specific troubleshooting is present — present
  • Stopping or escalation boundary is present — present
  • Every activity has an adjacent alternative — present
  • Correct-versus-incorrect comparison is present — present
  • Evidence context is bound to the Power record — present
  • Planning metadata is present — present

The method-readiness band and presence checklist assess tutorial presentation and are separate from evidence quality for the underlying Power. They are automated editorial aids, not human approval.

Manual editorial sign-off: Pending. This tutorial must not display a human-approved state until an identified editor signs the exact content hash.